Germany’s Friedrich Merz claims victory for his conservatives in election

German opposition leader Friedrich Merz’s conservatives were on course for a lacklustre victory in a national election on Sunday.

Meanwhile Alternative for Germany nearly doubled its support, the strongest showing for a far-right party since the Second World War, projections showed.

Chancellor Olaf Scholz conceded defeat for his centre-left Social Democrats after what he called “a bitter election result”.

Projections for ARD and ZDF public television showed his party finishing in third place with its worst post-war result in a national parliamentary election.

Mr Merz, who will most likely become Germany’s next chancellor, said he wants to form a new government by Easter, though it is not yet clear how easy that will be.

Mr Merz said in a televised appearance with other party leaders on Sunday evening: “We have nearly eight weeks until Easter now, and I think that should be enough time – the maximum time – to form a government in Germany.”

The election took place seven months earlier than originally planned after Mr Scholz’s unpopular coalition collapsed in November, three years into a term that was increasingly marred by infighting.

The projections, based on exit polls and partial counting, put support for Mr Merz’s Union bloc around 28.5% and the anti-immigration Alternative for Germany, or AfD, about 20.5% – roughly double its result from 2021.

They put support for Mr Scholz’s Social Democrats at just over 16%, far lower than in the last election and below their previous post-war low of 20.5% from 2017.

The environmentalist Greens, their remaining partners in the outgoing government, were on about 12%.

Out of three smaller parties, one – the hard-left Left Party – strengthened its position, winning up to 9% of the vote after a remarkable comeback.

The pro-business Free Democrats, who were the third party in the collapsed government, looked likely to lose their seats in parliament with about 4.5%.

The Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance, or BSW, was hovering around the 5% threshold needed to win seats.

Whether Mr Merz will need one or two partners to form a coalition will depend on how many parties get into parliament.

“I am aware of the responsibility,” Mr Merz said.

“I am also aware of the scale of the task that now lies ahead of us. I approach it with the utmost respect, and I know that it will not be easy.”

“The world out there isn’t waiting for us, and it isn’t waiting for long-drawn-out coalition talks and negotiations,” he told cheering supporters. “We must now become capable of acting quickly again.”

AfD’s candidate for chancellor, Alice Weidel, said that “we have become the second-strongest force”.

She said that her party is “open for coalition negotiations” with Mr Merz’s party, and that “otherwise, no change of policy is possible in Germany”.

But Mr Merz has repeatedly and categorically ruled out working with AfD, as have other mainstream parties.

The Social Democrats’ general secretary, Matthias Miersch, suggested that the defeat was no surprise after three years of the unpopular government.

“This election wasn’t lost in the last eight weeks,” he said.

The election was dominated by worries about the years-long stagnation of Europe’s biggest economy and with pressure to curb migration.

It took place against a background of growing uncertainty over the future of Ukraine and Europe’s alliance with the United States.

US President Donald Trump called the election result “a great day for Germany” in a Truth Social post.

Mr Trump did not name a party in his post.

“Looks like the conservative party in Germany has won the very big and highly anticipated election,” he wrote.

“Much like the USA, the people of Germany got tired of the no common sense agenda, especially on energy and immigration, that has prevailed for so many years,” Mr Trump wrote in a post that was entirely in capital letters.

Mr Merz said his absolute priority is “to create unity in Europe” – especially against the background of what is happening in the United States and Russia.

He said: “I have no illusions at all about what is happening from America. Take a look at the recent interventions in the German election campaign by Mr Elon Musk.”

He added that “the interventions from Washington were no less dramatic and drastic and ultimately outrageous than the interventions we have seen from Moscow. So we are under such massive pressure from two sides that my absolute priority now is really to create unity in Europe.”

Germany is the most populous country in the 27-nation European Union and a leading member of Nato.

It has been Ukraine’s second-biggest weapons supplier, after the US.

It will be central to shaping the continent’s response to the challenges of the coming years, including the Trump administration’s confrontational foreign and trade policy.

More than 59 million people in the nation of 84 million were eligible to elect the 630 members of the lower house of parliament, the Bundestag, who will take their seats under the glass dome of Berlin’s landmark Reichstag building.